ronnande wrote:I agree on this, the casual and lot of the kids gamers are moving on to gaming on mobile devices it seems. But the dedicated handheld and console market will continue to exist, but as this dude says it will be more dedicated hardcore gamers only on these systems.
Depends. If the hardware is cheap enough and the games are interesting enough, and available nowhere else, then even the casual market will buy the specialized hardware to get them. It's the reason why in an industry dominated by Sony and MS, at least vocally, Nintendo continues to thrive. And why PCs couldn't kill consoles. Or why Nintendo has always dominated the dedicated handheld market no matter who challenged them.
If Nintendo handles themselves correctly they could still sell 100 million of whatever future system they release even if there are a billion smart phones out there. Remember, people buy phones as phones first. Everything else is just extra. I doubt hardly anyone would site games as the deciding factor for why they even chose to get an iPhone vs an Android one let alone why they purchased a phone at all. Games just seem to be one of the many things phones do now, like text messaging.
Besides, as of the indefinite future you're never going to be able to buy any of Nintendo's games on any other hardware. Pokemon alone is probably worth 20-30 million system sales a generation.
Will people complain that they can't just buy them on their phones? Probably.
Will a lot of them still buy Nintendo's hardware to get them? Probably.