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The Switch [V.1] is easily going to do around 60 million on its own, but to reach those Wii levels the Switch is going to have become the sole Nintendo system it's meant to be [from Q1-Q2 next year latest].

Of course, it'll also need a steady stream of games after Year 1, and Pokemon Stars really should be exclusive to it this Fall [as curious as a Switch VS 3DS sales breakdown would be to see, the Huge boost it'd be to Switch is paramount].