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Based on what insiders and devs have noted, quite a bit. Even small carts can be enough to raise the price by $10 if the publisher is too small to offset the cost. 32GB ones are so pricey that they're absolutely not practical and that's why nobody has used them outside of two SE ones in Japan (one that cost $100 and one that was $70 due to SE eating some of the price) since they would hurt any small publisher badly and be a pain for even the biggest ones. If not even Nintendo could be bothered to use them, then I doubt they'll even be normalized.


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