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I believe Nintendo's original plan was Zelda-like for MP4. But since it was announced in June of 2017, and the restart was announced in early 2019, I believe they will not want to show it too early. In your February to November scenario, they can rereveal in their first direct of said year, show more at E3 + Treehouse, a new trailer in their late summer/early fall direct and maybe even a specific direct a couple of weeks before launch. It's a lot of exposure in a small amount of time, keeping the hype and we don't actually have to wait that long.
I just don't want them pulling a Sony and having us waiting 2+ years for every major exclusive