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Japan - 1st week sales for Switch compared to other platforms
Switch Japan 1st week sales 313,700
— Yuji Nakamura (@ynakamura56) March 7, 2017
Wii U: 308,600
Wii: 371,900
PS4: 322,100
Note: Switch launch outside Xmas season
Source: Nomura/Famitsu
As you can see, it's really hard to see how the Switch will do based on previous platform first-week sales. The Switch is pretty much right in the middle of everything. As you know, the Wii U went on to not do so well, but the Wii did fantastically well. It'll be an interesting few years.