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Analyst - Nintendomination could continue for 5 years, new DS in 1 year

by rawmeatcowboy
28 July 2008
GN 1.0 / 2.0

“Nintendo has the leadership role, and as long as it is able to maintain performance improvements within user budgets, it should be able to maintain superiority with its next-generation versions of NDS and Wii… If Nintendo can launch the next-generation hardware while maintaining backward compatibility and improve [processor] capacity to 400 MHz or above for the portables by FY09 and to 2000 MHz or above for the consoles by FY10, we predict that Nintendo will be able to maintain its predominance in the market for the next five years. We think that if Nintendo is able to leverage technological progress in semiconductors and improve performance based on the usual rate of cost reductions (about 30% annually for semiconductors), while maintaining backward compatibility with the current versions of NDS and Wii, it should be able to maintain a high level of price performance at a price users can afford in both the console and portable markets… Provided that Nintendo follows the same strategy that Sony did in its generational shift from the PS1 to the PS2, it should be able to pull this off. …user needs are beginning to exceed the processor performance of the NDS currently on the market. If the next-generation NDS does not include performance enhancements, the PSP is likely to regain market share, and we think this would create upside potential for Sony.” - UBS Nintendo analyst in Japan Shunsuke Tsuchiya

Mr. Tsuchiya also believes that we will see the next-gen DS within one year. Check out his full statements here.